polymarket
Politics
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?
July 19, 2026
0%
implied YES probability
-0.7pp 24h
Price history
Last 8 days ·
High 18% ·
Low 1%
· 7d -94.2pp
How this market resolves
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
Other outcomes in this event
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