polymarket
Politics
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
September 30, 2026
6%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 2 days ·
High 6% ·
Low 6%
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
-
Hong Kong Bourse May Launch First Bond Index Before End-2026
Bloomberg Markets · 2h ago
-
Worried About the Stock Market? These 3 Vanguard ETFs Can Be No-Brainer Buys Before the End of 2026
Motley Fool · 11h ago
-
Weekly Closed-End Fund Roundup (September 6, 2026)
Seeking Alpha News · 12h ago
-
Is Nvidia Stock a Buy in September 2026?
Motley Fool · 14h ago
-
3 Absurdly Cheap Growth Stocks to Buy Before the End of 2026
Motley Fool · 15h ago
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.