American Coastal Insurance Corporation Common Stock(ACIC)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

Snapshot
$11.12
52-Week Range
$9.79 – $13.05
YTD
-2.28%
IV Rank (30D)
29.19
Straddle Price
$1.30
P/C Vol Ratio
0.40
Market Cap
$0.5B
Fair Value
+34.7% vs price
Confidence: 37% Alpha Score: 0.56

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.50%
Beta vs SPY1.00
Cost of Equity (CAPM)10.00% (VRP-adj)
WACC8.68%
Volatility Risk Premium+199.7pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps
Effective Tax Rate25.3%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)-10.0%
DCF Horizon10 years explicit + fade
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$0.0B
Return on Equity (TTM)31.6%
Book / Price61.9% — banking bias active (P/B is primary)
Bank Quality Adj×1.61 (target ROE vs peer median)
Gross Margin (TTM)57.6%
FCF Margin (TTM)11.6%
Debt / Equity0.45
Quality Score3/6 — normal (10y DCF)
Market-Implied Growth+0.5% (reverse-DCF on current price)
SMA 50$10.97 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$10.46
Bollinger Width / SMA2092.0% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$0.0B
Market Cap$1B
Peers used for multiples: ACGL, AIG, ALL, BRK.B, CB, CINF, HIG, PGR, TRV, WRB (SIC-code peers; ETF co-membership was sector-incoherent)
Blended Fair Value
$15.01
Current Price
$11.15
Deviation
+34.7%
Forward-Return Rank LONG gates ✓
?
Horizon Expected α z Pred Blended z Rank % Active?
21d -0.2% +1.41 +1.16 85.1%
42d +0.6% +2.12 +1.51 90.2%
63d +3.8% +2.48 +1.69 94.2%
Expected α = forward-return point estimate vs SPY (e.g., +7.5% means the predictor expects this stock to outperform SPY by 7.5% over that horizon). For SHORT direction the model uses a different ranking metric (conviction-weighted deviation, not the LGBM prediction); Expected α is shown for reference. flags rows where Expected α disagrees with the FV direction — two independent signals are in conflict; conviction is low even if rank looks extreme.
Forward-Return Rank. A proprietary ensemble of a machine-learning forward-return model and a conviction-weighted fundamental score, ranked cross-sectionally each day across the S&P 500 (and broader universes on the screener). Each stock is scored at three horizons (21/42/63 trading days). "Active" = top/bottom 5% AND all risk filters pass. Backtested mean alpha vs SPY on active picks: 21d LONG +13.4%, 63d +34.9% (S&P 500, walk-forward). Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Value vs momentum conflict ⚠. The "FV direction" (long/short) comes from the fundamentals-based engine — price vs intrinsic value. The "Expected α" comes from a separate machine-learning predictor trained on ~12 features (sector, options-implied move, beta, institutional flow, etc.). Sometimes the two disagree: a stock is overvalued by fundamentals but the predictor expects it to keep outperforming (sector or momentum tailwinds). When all 3 horizons disagree, treat the direction signal as low-conviction — neither model is strongly recommending a position.
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF $5.43 0%
DDM (Gordon) $3.38 0%
Peer P/E $35.85 14% median 10.6× · 10 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0% median 7.8× · 10 peers
Peer P/B $12.16 20% median 1.8× · 10 peers
Peer P/S $17.19 7% median 1.6× · 10 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $10.97 59% stability 65% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-06-26 · updated 2026-06-26 20:59:30.580000
Info
Industry (SIC)
FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE (6331)
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$0.5B

American Coastal Insurance Corp is a holding company that underwrites commercial residential property and casualty insurance policies in the United States through its wholly-owned insurance subsidiary.

Chart
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan +2.24% 4
Feb +9.58% 4
Mar -1.61% 4
Apr +1.52% 4
May -0.75% 4
Jun +0.71% 4
Jul +3.05% 3
Aug -1.57% 4
Sep -1.35% 4
Oct +5.44% 3
Nov +7.93% 3
Dec +6.60% 3
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $10.49
SMA 50: $10.96
SMA 200: $11.44
Current: $11.15
EMA 12: $10.72
EMA 26: $10.69
MACD: 0.0291 | Signal: 0.1071
BEARISH
ADX (14): 23.72
WEAK TREND
+DI: 26.94
−DI: 19.77
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 61.21
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 83.60
Stoch %D: 87.08
Williams %R: -4.85
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $11.08
BB Lower: $9.91
OVERBOUGHT
OBV: 5,988,575
Vol SMA 20: 353,231
Vol ROC: 323.64%
ATR: $0.29
True Range: $0.44
HV 20: 30.0%
HV 30: 27.0%
HV 60: 39.0%

Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated: 2026-06-26T21:15:06.576000
Date Range: 2024-06-28T00:00:00 – 2026-06-26T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Earnings History
8 of 8 under expected move
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2024-08-07 After-Close 13.55% 1.90% 0.14x Within
2024-11-06 After-Close 12.22% 4.96% 0.41x Within
2025-02-27 After-Close 17.16% 7.71% 0.45x Within
2025-05-08 After-Close 10.26% 6.49% 0.63x Within
2025-08-06 After-Close 7.86% 5.21% 0.66x Within
2025-11-05 After-Close 10.84% 2.09% 0.19x Within
2026-02-19 After-Close 7.63% 1.89% 0.25x Within
2026-05-05 After-Close 13.06% 12.01% 0.92x Within
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
29.19
IV Rank (7D)
29.19
Avg IV
111.2%
Straddle (30D)
$1.30
Straddle (7D)
$1.30
P/C Volume
0.40
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
0.02
Correlation (SPY)
0.9%
0.00
Ann. Volatility
31.9%
SPY Volatility
12.5%

Low volatility - stock moves less than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-03-31
Diluted shares outstanding: 49,786,410 (as of 2026-03-31)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

151 filers17,396,145 shares$182.72M value34.94% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 1,828,264 $20.57M 11.26% 3.67% 2026-03-31
2 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 1,352,675 $17.08M 9.35% 2.72% 2025-12-31
3 Empyrean Capital Partners, LP 1,126,987 $12.68M 6.94% 2.26% 2026-03-31
4 PUNCH & ASSOCIATES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. 808,705 $9.10M 4.98% 1.62% 2026-03-31
5 DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP Custodian 750,108 $8.44M 4.62% 1.51% 2026-03-31
6 AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC 719,437 $8.09M 4.43% 1.45% 2026-03-31
7 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 615,861 $6.93M 3.79% 1.24% 2026-03-31
8 SEI INVESTMENTS CO Custodian 601,481 $6.77M 3.70% 1.21% 2026-03-31
9 TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP 564,754 $6.35M 3.48% 1.13% 2026-03-31
10 RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC 539,257 $6.07M 3.32% 1.08% 2026-03-31
11 STATE STREET CORP 505,827 $5.69M 3.11% 1.02% 2026-03-31
12 DG Capital Management, LLC 465,287 $5.23M 2.86% 0.93% 2026-03-31
13 ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP 317,891 $3.58M 1.96% 0.64% 2026-03-31
14 Empowered Funds, LLC Custodian 308,656 $3.47M 1.90% 0.62% 2026-03-31
15 BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 288,251 $3.24M 1.77% 0.58% 2026-03-31
16 TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL 216,156 $2.43M 1.33% 0.43% 2026-03-31
17 AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian 215,592 $2.43M 1.33% 0.43% 2026-03-31
18 Militia Capital Partners, LP 180,658 $2.28M 1.25% 0.36% 2025-12-31
19 Militia Capital Management LLC 200,658 $2.26M 1.24% 0.40% 2026-03-31
20 NORTHERN TRUST CORP Custodian 193,422 $2.18M 1.19% 0.39% 2026-03-31
21 Crews Bank & Trust 189,075 $2.13M 1.16% 0.38% 2026-03-31
22 MARSHALL WACE, LLP Custodian 179,394 $2.02M 1.10% 0.36% 2026-03-31
23 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Custodian 171,796 $1.93M 1.06% 0.35% 2026-03-31
24 ANTIPODES PARTNERS Ltd 156,567 $1.76M 0.96% 0.31% 2026-03-31
25 JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC 151,148 $1.70M 0.93% 0.30% 2026-03-31
3 filers$4.01M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian $2.23M 55.47% 2026-03-31
2 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian $1.37M 34.08% 2026-03-31
3 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian $419.62K 10.45% 2026-03-31
3 filers$4.27M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian $2.49M 58.38% 2026-03-31
2 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian $1.04M 24.43% 2026-03-31
3 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian $733.50K 17.18% 2026-03-31
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

P/E Ratio5.3
P/B Ratio1.6
P/S Ratio1.6
EV/EBITDA3.5
TTM Revenue$0.3B
TTM Net Income$0.1B
TTM EPS$2.11
ROE31.6%
Dividend Yield7.01%
Debt/Equity0.45