Netscout Systems Inc(NTCT)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $20.39 – $43.80
- YTD
- +55.27%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 25.68
- Straddle Price
- $3.03
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.80
- Market Cap
- $2.9B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.50% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.00 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 10.00% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 9.89% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +56.5pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 19.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +8.7% |
| DCF Horizon | 12 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.09 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.3B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 5.8% |
| Book / Price | 55.7% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 79.4% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 33.2% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.00 |
| Quality Score | 4/6 — high quality (12y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | -5.8% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $38.24 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $41.06 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 25.1% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $-0.6B |
| Market Cap | $3B |
| Horizon | Expected α | z Pred | Blended z | Rank % | Active? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | -4.0% ⚠ | -0.25 | +0.22 | 39.0% | — |
| 42d | -5.1% ⚠ | +0.07 | +0.38 | 45.0% | — |
| 63d | -3.1% ⚠ | +0.71 | +0.70 | 59.6% | — |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $88.17 | 37% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | $24.59 | 11% | median 17.5× · 7 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $33.09 | 11% | median 10.1× · 6 peers |
| Peer P/B | $59.23 | 11% | median 2.6× · 7 peers |
| Peer P/S | $12.68 | 11% | median 1.0× · 7 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $38.24 | 18% | stability 24% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN (7373)
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $2.9B
NetScout Systems Inc is engaged in providing enterprise network observability, carrier service assurance, cybersecurity, and Distributed Denial-of-Service (DDoS), protection solutions. It bases its solutions on proprietary adaptive service intelligence technology, which helps customers monitor and identify performance issues and provides insight into network-based security threats. These solutions also deliver real-time and historical information, which provides insight to restore service and understand the quality of user experience. The company derives revenue from the sale of network manage…
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +1.50% | 6 |
| Feb | -2.65% | 6 |
| Mar | +1.71% | 6 |
| Apr | -1.92% | 6 |
| May | +12.56% | 6 |
| Jun | +0.35% | 6 |
| Jul | -1.03% | 5 |
| Aug | -1.15% | 5 |
| Sep | +0.88% | 5 |
| Oct | -2.45% | 5 |
| Nov | +1.88% | 5 |
| Dec | +1.26% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.
Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-25 | After-Close | 11.43% | 3.51% | 0.31x | Within |
| 2024-10-24 | After-Close | 9.78% | 0.88% | 0.09x | Within |
| 2025-01-30 | Pre-Market | 9.56% | 9.90% | 1.04x | Exceeded |
| 2025-05-08 | After-Close | 5.59% | 0.70% | 0.13x | Within |
| 2025-08-07 | Pre-Market | 7.25% | 2.03% | 0.28x | Within |
| 2025-11-06 | Pre-Market | 11.63% | 6.19% | 0.53x | Within |
| 2026-02-05 | After-Close | 15.37% | 3.45% | 0.22x | Within |
| 2026-05-07 | After-Close | 7.57% | 2.09% | 0.28x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 25.68
- IV Rank (7D)
- 25.68
- Avg IV
- 69.7%
- Straddle (30D)
- $3.03
- Straddle (7D)
- $3.03
- P/C Volume
- 0.80
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 1.01
- Correlation (SPY)
- 40.2%
- R²
- 0.16
- Ann. Volatility
- 31.3%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.5%
Above average volatility - stock moves with market amplification
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $1.25M | 56.61% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $851.97K | 38.51% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $85.83K | 3.88% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $22.25K | 1.01% | 2026-03-31 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Eric Todd Watt | Chief Accounting Officer | Grant (A) | +10,000 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-23 | ANIL K SINGHAL | President & CEO | Mixed | +5,759 | $39.67 | -$182.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-23 | JOHN DOWNING | EVP, World-Wide Sales | Mixed | +2,879 | $39.67 | -$91.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-23 | MICHAEL SZABADOS | Director | Mixed | +4,266 | $39.67 | -$70.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-17 | MICHAEL SZABADOS | Director | Mixed | +4,444 | $41.42 | -$76.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-17 | JOHN DOWNING | EVP, World-Wide Sales | Mixed | +3,809 | $41.42 | -$65.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-17 | Sanjay Munshi | Chief Operating Officer | Mixed | +1,815 | $41.42 | -$24.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-17 | Anthony John Piazza | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Mixed | +1,411 | $41.42 | -$24.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-17 | ANIL K SINGHAL | President & CEO | Mixed | +6,605 | $41.42 | -$173.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-09 | Sanjay Munshi | Chief Operating Officer | Mixed | +2,178 | $40.59 | -$28.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-09 | Anthony John Piazza | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Mixed | +1,695 | $40.59 | -$28.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-09 | MICHAEL SZABADOS | Director | Mixed | +4,450 | $40.59 | -$75.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-09 | ANIL K SINGHAL | President & CEO | Mixed | +7,630 | $40.59 | -$128.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-09 | JOHN DOWNING | EVP, World-Wide Sales | Mixed | −4,185 | $40.34 | -$386.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-29 | Sanjay Munshi | Chief Operating Officer | Grant (A) | +25,000 RSU | — | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eric Bannasch | 10%+ Owner | 4,196,674 | $174.54M | $531.8K | 1 | 2011-11-16 |
| 2 | TA ASSOCIATES, L.P. | 3,262,113 | $135.67M | -$7.60M | 6 | 2007-07-31 | |
| 3 | TA ADVENT VIII LP | 2,440,170 | $101.49M | -$7.76M | 7 | 2007-07-31 | |
| 4 | TA ASSOCIATES VIII LLC | 2,440,170 | $101.49M | -$7.76M | 7 | 2007-07-31 | |
| 5 | ANIL K SINGHAL | President & CEO | 1,898,994 | $78.98M | $0 | 82 | 2026-06-23 |
| 6 | TA ASSOCIATES AAP III PARTNERS | 648,129 | $26.96M | -$2.03M | 7 | 2007-07-31 | |
| 7 | ADVENT ATLANTIC & PACIFIC III LP | 638,192 | $26.54M | -$2.03M | 7 | 2007-07-31 | |
| 8 | DAVID P SOMMERS | Executive Vice-Chairman | 197,366 | $8.21M | -$3.53M | 35 | 2012-09-11 |
| 9 | JOHN DOWNING | EVP, World-Wide Sales | 138,114 | $5.74M | -$8.23M | 132 | 2026-06-23 |
| 10 | JOSEPH G JR HADZIMA | Director | 128,185 | $5.33M | -$2.85M | 67 | 2025-11-21 |
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. Amendments (Form 144/A) and post-cancellation refilings can inflate this if you sum naively; the rollup above excludes filings with zero stated value.
Source & freshness: Parsed directly from EDGAR primary-doc XML. Daily refresh; new filings typically appear here the morning after they hit EDGAR.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | DOWNING JOHN | Officer | 8,000 | $322.3K | 2026-06-08 | Merrill Lynch | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-05 | SINGHAL ANIL K | Director | 42,013 | $1.73M | 2026-06-05 | TD Securities (USA) LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-01 | SINGHAL ANIL K | Director | 40,655 | $1.73M | 2026-06-01 | TD Securities (USA) LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-29 | SINGHAL ANIL K | Director | 9,345 | $388.6K | 2026-05-29 | NetScout Systems, Inc | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-15 | Munshi Sanjay | Officer | 1,985 | $76.2K | 2026-05-15 | Merrill Lynch | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-15 | SZABADOS MICHAEL | Officer | 4,000 | $153.6K | 2026-05-15 | Merrill Lynch | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-12 | Grasso Alfred | Director | 5,000 | $203.3K | 2026-05-12 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-20 | DOWNING JOHN | Officer | 3,000 | $90.0K | 2026-02-18 | Merrill Lynch | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-18 | SZABADOS MICHAEL | Officer | 4,000 | $116.7K | 2026-02-18 | Merrill Lynch | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-18 | Munshi Sanjay | Officer | 2,000 | $58.4K | 2026-02-18 | Merrill Lynch | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/E Ratio | 32.3 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.8 |
| P/S Ratio | 3.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.8 |
| TTM Revenue | $0.9B |
| TTM Net Income | $0.1B |
| TTM EPS | $1.29 |
| ROE | 5.8% |