Trinity Industries, Inc.(TRN)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $22.38 – $37.36
- YTD
- +29.99%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 73.06
- Straddle Price
- $3.20
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 9.95
- Market Cap
- $2.8B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.45% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.00 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.95% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 10.00% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +47.5pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 24.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -2.8% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $-0.4B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 23.7% |
| Book / Price | 40.0% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 27.1% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | -21.4% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.00 |
| Quality Score | 3/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $33.56 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $33.19 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 35.6% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $-0.1B |
| Market Cap | $3B |
| Horizon | Expected α | z Pred | Blended z | Rank % | Active? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | +0.8% | +1.18 | +0.78 | 73.2% | — |
| 42d | +1.8% | +1.46 | +0.92 | 75.6% | — |
| 63d | +1.2% | +1.33 | +0.86 | 72.8% | — |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $11.66 | 38% | |
| Peer P/E | $65.97 | 22% | median 21.4× · 6 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $83.93 | 22% | median 10.3× · 7 peers |
| Peer P/B | $17.52 | 4% | median 1.3× · 7 peers |
| Peer P/S | $34.06 | 14% | median 1.4× · 7 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $33.56 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- RAILROAD EQUIPMENT (3743)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $2.8B
Trinity Industries Inc sells and leases railroad products and railcar maintenance services in North America. The company operates under the name TrinityRail in two main segments: railcar leasing and management services, which owns railcars and provides fleet management and administration services; rail products, which builds, sells, and modifies freight and tank railcars and their components; and all other, which sells highway products such as guardrail and other highway barriers. Customers include railroads, leasing companies, and shipping companies in agriculture, construction, consumer prod…
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +0.10% | 6 |
| Feb | +1.20% | 6 |
| Mar | -0.31% | 6 |
| Apr | -5.96% | 6 |
| May | -1.12% | 6 |
| Jun | +2.63% | 6 |
| Jul | +2.55% | 5 |
| Aug | +0.25% | 5 |
| Sep | -1.82% | 5 |
| Oct | +5.11% | 5 |
| Nov | +4.39% | 5 |
| Dec | +3.21% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.
Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-01 | Pre-Market | 8.09% | 10.41% | 1.29x | Exceeded |
| 2024-10-31 | Pre-Market | 7.84% | 4.06% | 0.52x | Within |
| 2025-05-01 | Pre-Market | 8.49% | 2.26% | 0.27x | Within |
| 2025-07-31 | Pre-Market | 7.81% | 8.01% | 1.03x | Exceeded |
| 2025-10-30 | After-Close | 9.33% | 0.74% | 0.08x | Within |
| 2026-02-12 | After-Close | 4.77% | 1.36% | 0.29x | Within |
| 2026-04-30 | Pre-Market | 8.94% | 6.01% | 0.67x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 73.06
- IV Rank (7D)
- 100
- Avg IV
- 75.5%
- Straddle (30D)
- $3.20
- Straddle (7D)
- $1.15
- P/C Volume
- 9.95
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.79
- Correlation (SPY)
- 28.5%
- R²
- 0.08
- Ann. Volatility
- 34.2%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.4%
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $1.37M | 36.56% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $1.02M | 27.29% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $675.78K | 18.02% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $448.65K | 11.97% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $230.95K | 6.16% | 2026-03-31 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $1.04M | 46.82% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $598.55K | 26.88% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $437.65K | 19.65% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $115.85K | 5.20% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $32.18K | 1.45% | 2026-03-31 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | DUNIA A SHIVE | Director | Grant (A) | +4,024 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-26 | Robert C Jr Biesterfeld | Director | Grant (A) | +4,024 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-26 | LELDON E ECHOLS | Director | Award (A) | +6,210 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-26 | William P Ainsworth | Director | Award (A) | +4,024 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-26 | John J. Diez | Director | Award (A) | +4,024 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-26 | Scott M Ewing | EVP & Chief Legal Officer | Mixed | +12,172 | $34.30 | -$67.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-26 | Veena M Lakkundi | Director | Grant (A) | +4,024 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-26 | Eric R Marchetto | EVP & CFO | Mixed | +36,414 | $34.30 | -$511.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-26 | TODD MACLIN | Director | Award (A) | +4,024 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-26 | Christina N Maldonado | Vice President and CAO | Award (A) | +2,100 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-26 | Kevin Poet | EVP Operations & Support Svcs | Mixed | +25,114 | $34.30 | -$358.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-26 | Aaron J. Gooding | EVP Leasing and Services | Mixed | +11,535 | $34.30 | -$58.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-26 | Jean Savage | President & CEO | Mixed | +136,985 | $34.30 | -$1.91M | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-19 | Eric R Marchetto | EVP & CFO | Tax (F) | −7,126 | $34.26 | -$244.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-19 | Jean Savage | President & CEO | Tax (F) | −23,768 | $34.26 | -$814.3K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon B Boze | Director | 21,560,255 | $759.14M | $23.45M | 1 | 2018-11-23 |
| 2 | ValueAct Capital Master Fund, L.P. | 10%+ Owner | 18,607,352 | $655.16M | $64.32M | 2 | 2017-11-27 |
| 3 | ValueAct Holdings, L.P. | Director | 15,005,855 | $528.36M | $196.53M | 4 | 2021-04-30 |
| 4 | JEFFREY L ET AL GENDELL | 10%+ Owner | 8,859,140 | $311.93M | -$63.98M | 8 | 2008-10-03 |
| 5 | TIMOTHY R WALLACE | CEO & President | 2,005,763 | $70.62M | -$41.41M | 41 | 2019-05-17 |
| 6 | Jean Savage | President & CEO | 463,397 | $16.32M | $273.5K | 22 | 2026-05-26 |
| 7 | James E Perry | Senior Vice President & CFO | 377,579 | $13.29M | -$2.20M | 39 | 2018-05-16 |
| 8 | Eric R Marchetto | EVP & CFO | 317,084 | $11.16M | -$1.15M | 24 | 2026-05-26 |
| 9 | MARK W STILES | Senior Vice President | 240,868 | $8.48M | -$4.06M | 19 | 2009-06-02 |
| 10 | Paul M Mauer | 239,280 | $8.43M | $0 | 4 | 2020-05-18 | |
| 11 | D STEPHEN MENZIES | Senior Vice President | 236,707 | $8.33M | -$16.80M | 48 | 2017-06-06 |
| 12 | S THEIS RICE | Senior Vice President | 223,530 | $7.87M | -$8.80M | 46 | 2018-05-16 |
| 13 | William A McWhirter | Senior Vice President | 177,600 | $6.25M | -$14.26M | 59 | 2018-03-06 |
| 14 | Melendy E Lovett | EVP & Chief Admin Officer | 159,425 | $5.61M | -$352.1K | 59 | 2021-07-01 |
| 15 | Gregory B Mitchell | EVP Leasing and Services | 124,619 | $4.39M | -$1.48M | 17 | 2025-09-09 |
| 16 | Sarah Teachout | EVP & Chief Legal Officer | 123,569 | $4.35M | $0 | 10 | 2023-05-17 |
| 17 | Martin Graham | 96,695 | $3.40M | -$579.2K | 6 | 2007-06-05 | |
| 18 | Kevin Poet | EVP Operations & Support Svcs | 96,690 | $3.40M | -$152.7K | 15 | 2026-05-26 |
| 19 | VA Partners I, LLC | Director | 93,749 | $3.30M | -$1.72B | 14 | 2022-02-24 |
| 20 | Mary E Henderson | Vice President & CAO | 93,236 | $3.28M | -$1.49M | 25 | 2018-05-16 |
| 21 | ANDREA F COWAN | Vice President | 81,365 | $2.86M | -$276.9K | 16 | 2010-05-17 |
| 22 | Brian D Madison | EVP Services Operations | 81,303 | $2.86M | -$557.9K | 13 | 2022-05-17 |
| 23 | LELDON E ECHOLS | Director | 80,260 | $2.83M | $0 | 94 | 2026-05-26 |
| 24 | Steven L McDowell | VP & Chief Acctg Officer | 73,177 | $2.58M | $0 | 10 | 2023-05-17 |
| 25 | Scott M Ewing | EVP & Chief Legal Officer | 72,223 | $2.54M | $0 | 5 | 2026-05-26 |
| 26 | Neil J West | EVP Production Operations | 67,791 | $2.39M | $0 | 2 | 2021-05-18 |
| 27 | CHARLES MICHEL | VP, Controller, & CAO | 66,918 | $2.36M | -$674.1K | 11 | 2008-12-12 |
| 28 | JOHN M LEE | Vice President | 61,486 | $2.16M | -$425.0K | 20 | 2010-05-17 |
| 29 | JOHN L ADAMS | Director | 49,325 | $1.74M | -$7.00M | 75 | 2021-04-02 |
| 30 | RHYS J BEST | Director | 48,223 | $1.70M | $139.3K | 14 | 2018-05-09 |
| 31 | Antonio Carrillo | Senior Vice President | 47,281 | $1.66M | $145.1K | 33 | 2018-10-02 |
| 32 | TODD MACLIN | Director | 36,693 | $1.29M | $295.2K | 33 | 2026-05-26 |
| 33 | William P Ainsworth | Director | 31,985 | $1.13M | $0 | 7 | 2026-05-26 |
| 34 | John J. Diez | Director | 29,755 | $1.05M | $0 | 9 | 2026-05-26 |
| 35 | Donald G Collum | VP & Chief Audit Executive | 28,704 | $1.01M | -$16.9K | 11 | 2010-05-17 |
| 36 | Madhuri A Andrews | VP of IT | 26,769 | $942.5K | $0 | 6 | 2010-05-17 |
| 37 | Christina N Maldonado | Vice President and CAO | 26,587 | $936.1K | $0 | 7 | 2026-05-26 |
| 38 | Aaron J. Gooding | EVP Leasing and Services | 24,985 | $879.7K | $0 | 2 | 2026-05-26 |
| 39 | DAVID W BIEGLER | Director | 24,217 | $852.7K | -$1.91M | 66 | 2018-10-02 |
| 40 | MICHAEL G FORTADO | VP&Secretary | 21,580 | $759.8K | -$173.2K | 2 | 2007-05-10 |
| 41 | Virginia C Gray | Vice President | 20,961 | $738.0K | $1.5K | 8 | 2010-05-17 |
| 42 | RONALD J GAFFORD | Director | 19,417 | $683.7K | -$394.4K | 59 | 2018-10-02 |
| 43 | PAUL M JOLAS | VP Dep Gen'l Counsel & Secty | 18,263 | $643.0K | $0 | 5 | 2009-05-18 |
| 44 | DIANA S NATALICIO | Director | 15,000 | $528.1K | $15.7K | 31 | 2012-04-03 |
| 45 | JESS T HAY | Director | 13,404 | $472.0K | -$193.8K | 12 | 2011-05-03 |
| 46 | ADRIAN E LEE | Vice President | 10,160 | $357.7K | $0 | 4 | 2008-12-01 |
| 47 | Veena M Lakkundi | Director | 5,121 | $180.3K | $0 | 6 | 2026-05-26 |
| 48 | Robert C Jr Biesterfeld | Director | 3,620 | $127.5K | $886 | 20 | 2026-05-26 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/E Ratio | 11.3 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.6 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.2 |
| TTM Revenue | $2.1B |
| TTM Net Income | $0.3B |
| TTM EPS | $3.09 |
| ROE | 23.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.57% |
| Debt/Equity | 4.99 |