OpenAI market share this week
50/50 line46%Above 18.1%
Line nearest 50/50
46%
Market median
18.027%
Biggest 24h move+40 pts
74%
24h volume
$87K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 14.1%
98%
Above 16.5%
88%
Above 17.5%
74%
+40
Above 17.8%
62%
+36
Above 18.1%
46%
+27
Above 18.4%
46%
Above 18.7%
44%
+34
Above 19.8%
18%
Above 21.9%
2%
What the market expects
median 18.027%Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 14.1%YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 16.5%YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 14.1% | YES | 98¢ | $2K | |
| Above 16.5% | YES | 89¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
9| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 14.1% | 98% | — | $6K | $3K |
| Above 16.5% | 88% | — | $13K | $4K |
| Above 17.5% | 74% | +39.5 | $13K | $4K |
| Above 17.8% | 62% | +36.5 | $16K | $4K |
| Above 18.1% | 46% | +27.0 | $14K | $5K |
| Above 18.4% | 46% | — | $12K | $5K |
| Above 18.7% | 44% | +34.5 | $10K | $4K |
| Above 19.8% | 18% | — | $2K | $2K |
| Above 21.9% | 2% | — | $2K | $1K |