What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 25, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Liam Draxl

Settles Oct 25, 2026 (14d)

chance of YES96%

Price range (3h)

85–95%

24h volume

23.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

26.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$25K

100% on YES

hourly, 3h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 10, 6:01 PM ET	YES	95¢	3,142	$3K
Oct 10, 4:56 PM ET	YES	95¢	6,000	$6K
Oct 10, 4:56 PM ET	YES	95¢	5,000	$5K
Oct 10, 4:56 PM ET	YES	95¢	6,000	$6K
Oct 10, 4:52 PM ET	YES	95¢	6,000	$6K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.