kalshi
Economics
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?
Hike 25bps
86%
implied YES probability
-1.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 87 days ·
High 87% ·
Low 26%
· 7d +61.1pp
· 30d +234.6pp
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Stubborn inflation sets stage for Federal Reserve to hike interest rates
Fox Business Latest · 14h ago
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Federal Reserve Expected to Raise Interest Rates
Bloomberg Politics · 2h ago
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Why a Federal Reserve rate hike could be a ‘rare win’ for your retirement money
MarketWatch · 11h ago
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Fed meeting live updates: Anticipation builds with Fed expected to hike interest rates for first time in 3 years
Yahoo Finance · 17h ago
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'More Risky' If Fed Doesn't Hike Rates, Invesco Says
Bloomberg Markets · 1h ago
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86.0¢ | 91655 | 87.0¢ | 3175 | |
| 85.0¢ | 64486 | 88.0¢ | 320852 | |
| 84.0¢ | 70353 | 89.0¢ | 333910 | |
| 83.0¢ | 20171 | 90.0¢ | 214410 | |
| 82.0¢ | 13098 | 91.0¢ | 82720 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 86.5¢
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