What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Hike >25bps

Closes Sep 16, 2026 (46d) 24h volume 222.2K Open interest 514.9K Event Fed decision in Sep 2026?

2%

implied YES probability

Last 34 days · High 6% · Low 1% · 7d -33.3pp · 30d -50.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 1.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.