What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.75%

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (469d) 24h volume 110 Open interest 283 Event Fed funds rate at end of 2027

18%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 31% · Low 11% · 7d +52.6pp

TGT Target Corporation

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.