What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 24, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Tristan McCormick

Settles Oct 24, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: McCormick vs Bini

chance of YES100%

Price range (14h)

60–99%

24h volume

594.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

297.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$203K

94% on YES

hourly, 14h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 10, 2:46 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,595	$2K
Oct 10, 2:46 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,466	$1K
Oct 10, 2:46 PM ET	YES	99¢	4,890	$5K
Oct 10, 2:45 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,431	$3K
Oct 10, 2:44 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,865	$2K
Oct 10, 2:44 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,018	$2K
Oct 10, 2:44 PM ET	YES	98¢	5,000	$5K
Oct 10, 2:44 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,103	$2K
Oct 10, 2:44 PM ET	YES	98¢	4,075	$4K
Oct 10, 2:44 PM ET	YES	98¢	13,600	$13K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.