William Rejchtman Vinciguerra wins
chance of YES28%
Price range (8h)
16–21%
24h volume
23.2K
Open interest
57.3K
Bid / ask
28¢ / 29¢
Odds and volume
hourly, 8hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.0¢ | 1,923 | 29.0¢ | 245 |
| 27.0¢ | 1,603 | 30.0¢ | 4,061 |
| 26.0¢ | 1,409 | 31.0¢ | 2,334 |
| 25.0¢ | 1,520 | 32.0¢ | 1,678 |
| 24.0¢ | 1,549 | 33.0¢ | 1,567 |
Mid 28.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 72¢ | 4,315 | $3K | |
| NO | 64¢ | 1,592 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.