What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 24, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Cherubini / Pace

Settles Oct 24, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Rencheli / Sholokhova vs Cherubini / Pace

chance of YES100%

Price range (4h)

45–99%

24h volume

132.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

65.1K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$25K

79% on YES

hourly, 4h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 10, 6:57 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,083	$1K
Oct 10, 6:57 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,452	$1K
Oct 10, 6:57 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,568	$2K
Oct 10, 6:52 PM ET	NO	51¢	3,198	$2K
Oct 10, 6:47 PM ET	YES	93¢	3,198	$3K
Oct 10, 6:46 PM ET	YES	87¢	1,478	$1K
Oct 10, 6:42 PM ET	YES	92¢	1,102	$1K
Oct 10, 6:40 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,783	$2K
Oct 10, 6:38 PM ET	YES	94¢	2,129	$2K
Oct 10, 6:34 PM ET	NO	38¢	5,819	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.