What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Nao Nishino

Settles Oct 30, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Wolff vs Nishino

chance of YES100%

Price range (15h)

14–99%

24h volume

1.1M

$1 contracts

Open interest

530.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$331K

73% on YES

hourly, 15h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 16, 9:12 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,385	$1K
Oct 16, 9:12 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,825	$4K
Oct 16, 9:12 PM ET	YES	97¢	2,118	$2K
Oct 16, 9:11 PM ET	YES	94¢	2,225	$2K
Oct 16, 9:11 PM ET	YES	87¢	3,045	$3K
Oct 16, 9:11 PM ET	YES	88¢	1,484	$1K
Oct 16, 9:11 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,046	$3K
Oct 16, 9:11 PM ET	YES	94¢	93,040	$87K
Oct 16, 9:11 PM ET	YES	81¢	2,761	$2K
Oct 16, 9:09 PM ET	YES	72¢	1,595	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.