What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Muse

Settles Oct 31, 2026 (24d) All outcomes: Best AI in Oct 2026?

chance of YES2%

Price range (120d)

1–2%

24h volume

1.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

19.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

1¢ / 3¢

spread 2.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 2.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Gemini68%4.3K

Claude28%2.5K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 4, 12:18 AM ET	NO	99¢	1,700	$2K
Sep 30, 4:09 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,993	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.