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Will Gerald Murnane win the Nobel Prize in Literature?

Gerald Murnane
Settles Oct 10, 2026 (3d) All outcomes: Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026

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Preview
chance of YES11% -6.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
4–14%
24h volume
103
$1 contracts
Open interest
296
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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