What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Lexington

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Where will it rain on Oct 6, 2026?

chance of YES1% -1.0pp in 24h

Price range (31h)

1–2%

24h volume

304

$1 contracts

Open interest

4.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$3K

0% on YES

hourly, 31h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Miami29%112.1K

Denver1%15.9K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 5, 2:06 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,041	$2K
Oct 5, 11:03 AM ET	NO	99¢	1,075	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.