What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 28, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 41.5 million

Settles Nov 28, 2027 (406d) All outcomes: Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027

chance of YES42% -2.0pp in 24h

Price range (20h)

40–46%

24h volume

1.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

442

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 20h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.