What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 05, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 14%

Settles Mar 05, 2027 (140d) All outcomes: Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3

chance of YES2% +1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

2–27%

· 7d -57 pts

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Above 6%96%58

Above 7%91%40