Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 4, 2026?
chance of YES82%
-4.5pp in 24h
Price range (45h)
78–91%
24h volume
3.2K
Open interest
3.4K
Large orders (14d)
$1K
Odds and volume
hourly, 45hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
At least 1100%3.0K
At least 292%1.9K
At least 474%20
At least 560%51
At least 637%1.5K
At least 716%12
At least 106%13
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 82¢ | 1,723 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.