Will there be at least 6 presidential actions in the week of Oct 4, 2026?

At least 6
Settles Oct 11, 2026 (4d) All outcomes: How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/4-10/10)

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chance of YES37% -14.0pp in 24h
Price range (25h)
36–51%
24h volume
1.5K
$1 contracts
Open interest
1.7K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

hourly, 25h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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