What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Aoi Ito

Settles Oct 31, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Ito vs Grant

chance of YES100%

Price range (16h)

48–99%

24h volume

863.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

511.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$359K

91% on YES

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 17, 1:35 AM ET	YES	99¢	3,028	$3K
Oct 17, 1:35 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,413	$1K
Oct 17, 1:35 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,500	$2K
Oct 17, 1:35 AM ET	YES	96¢	1,445	$1K
Oct 17, 1:35 AM ET	YES	92¢	17,223	$16K
Oct 17, 1:34 AM ET	YES	95¢	10,281	$10K
Oct 17, 1:33 AM ET	YES	93¢	1,901	$2K
Oct 17, 1:33 AM ET	YES	93¢	2,675	$2K
Oct 17, 1:33 AM ET	YES	93¢	2,120	$2K
Oct 17, 1:33 AM ET	YES	93¢	2,140	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.