What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Casa Tupka Anthemo

chance of YES20%

Price range (120d)

—

24h volume

918

$1 contracts

Open interest

912

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.