polymarket
Politics
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
June 30, 2027
61%
implied YES probability
+8.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 10 days ·
High 62% ·
Low 50%
· 7d +2.6pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Other outcomes in this event
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