Albany International Corp Class A(AIN)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $41.15 – $77.00
- YTD
- +13.35%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 49.23
- Straddle Price
- $11.60
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.33
- Market Cap
- $1.7B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.01% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.99 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.94% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 8.89% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +30.2pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +26.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.10 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.1B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -6.9% |
| Book / Price | 42.9% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 21.1% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 4.8% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.60 |
| Quality Score | 1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +22.4% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $65.34 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $59.46 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 22.5% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.4B |
| Market Cap | $2B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $71.47 | 35% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $23.80 | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 14.8× · 3 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $21.52 | 11% | median 13.3× · 4 peers |
| Peer P/B | $93.20 | 14% | median 3.6× · 4 peers |
| Peer P/S | $82.57 | 14% | median 1.8× · 4 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $65.34 | 26% | stability 37% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $59.52 | 0% | 5 strikes · skew +0.36 |
- Industry (SIC)
- BROADWOVEN FABRIC MILLS, MAN MADE FIBER & SILK (2221)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $1.7B
Albany International Corp is a textiles and materials processing company specializing in engineered fabrics and composite components and assemblies for the paper, industrial manufacturing and aerospace industries. It operates through two segments: Machine Clothing, which produces custom-designed fabrics and high-speed process belts for paper, paperboard, tissue, towel and pulp, as well as engineered fabrics for other industrial applications, and contributes the majority of revenue; and Albany Engineered Composites, which provides engineered composite parts for the aerospace and defense industr…
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +0.51% | 6 |
| Feb | +2.95% | 6 |
| Mar | -4.81% | 6 |
| Apr | -2.33% | 6 |
| May | +5.11% | 6 |
| Jun | +3.49% | 6 |
| Jul | +4.04% | 6 |
| Aug | -4.48% | 6 |
| Sep | -3.45% | 6 |
| Oct | -0.24% | 5 |
| Nov | +4.58% | 5 |
| Dec | +3.41% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: AIN
Executive Summary
BULLISH/BEARISH: NEUTRAL (6/10)
Key drivers:
- Technical indicators point to a neutral trend, with no clear direction
- Recent news headlines are mixed, with some negative and positive sentiment
Primary risks:
- High volatility, with beta above 1.0, indicating amplification of market movements
- Options market pricing $8.40 move by expiration, which may be influenced by recent earnings misses
Investment thesis: AIN is a neutral stock with moderate risk, driven by mixed news headlines and technical signals. The options market suggests a potential move to $70-$72, while the trend indicators indicate no clear direction.
Recent news sentiment impact: Neutral (mixed headlines)
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term: NEUTRAL (price range-bound), Medium-term: BEARISH (SMA 50 below price), Long-term: BULLISH (SMA 200 above price)
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Lower band: $54.67
- Middle band: $60.46
- Upper band: $66.25
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (50.13)
- MACD signal: Bearish (crossover below signal line)
- Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze, indicating volatility reduction
Volume Analysis: Volume trends and institutional interest signals:
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): 2238569.58
- Volume Rate of Change: 32.54%
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Mixed headlines with some negative sentiment (Investigation alerts) and positive sentiment (Paper Machine Clothing Market forecast)
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral (aggregate news sentiment is mixed, with no clear direction)
Catalyst Identification: No immediate catalysts identified, but options market suggests potential move by expiration
Market Narrative: Recent news headlines are mixed, which may be influencing the stock's neutral trend and moderate volatility
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High risk (beta above 1.0), indicating amplification of market movements
Volatility Regime: Current vs historical volatility levels: Above average volatility, with 40% stock volatility and 27.7% IV rank
Options Market Signals: IV rank: 27.7%, Put/Call volume ratio: 0.33 (Bullish sentiment)
Downside Protection: Support levels and risk management considerations:
- Critical price levels: $54.67 (lower band) and $60.46 (middle band)
- Breakout/breakdown levels: None identified
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: Relative strength vs sector/market: Neutral
Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggesting institutional interest:
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): 2238569.58
Correlation Analysis: How stock moves relative to market (R-squared interpretation):
- Correlation: 0.33 (stock moves with market amplification)
Relative Valuation: Position within trading range:
- Trading range: $54.67-$66.25
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support level: $60.46 (middle band)
- Resistance level: $66.25 (upper band)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: None identified
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No immediate catalysts identified, but options market suggests potential move by expiration
Risk Management:
- Stop-loss levels: Consider placing stop-loss orders at $54.67 or $60.46 to limit losses
- Position sizing considerations: Consider scaling into positions or using a volatility-based risk model
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | After-Close | 10.37% | 5.11% | 0.49x | Within |
| 2025-02-26 | After-Close | 13.94% | 2.29% | 0.16x | Within |
| 2025-04-30 | After-Close | 11.30% | 4.76% | 0.42x | Within |
| 2025-07-30 | After-Close | 11.52% | 23.63% | 2.05x | Exceeded |
| 2025-10-28 | Pre-Market | 17.71% | 0.91% | 0.05x | Within |
| 2026-02-24 | Pre-Market | 22.69% | 4.78% | 0.21x | Within |
| 2026-04-30 | After-Close | 13.18% | 0.40% | 0.03x | Within |
| 2026-08-04 | After-Close | 16.55% | 1.86% | 0.11x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 49.23
- IV Rank (7D)
- 49.23
- Avg IV
- 83.2%
- Straddle (30D)
- $11.60
- Straddle (7D)
- $11.60
- P/C Volume
- 0.33
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.99
- Correlation (SPY)
- 31.9%
- R²
- 0.10
- Ann. Volatility
- 40.3%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.0%
Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $454.45K | 100.00% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $5.58M | 89.59% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $648.15K | 10.41% | 2026-06-30 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Willard C Station | Executive Vice President - CFO | Mixed | +8,018 | $54.33 | -$140.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-13 | Christopher Eric Stone | President AEC | Mixed | +4,930 | $63.84 | -$126.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-10 | Sean C Valashinas | CAO | Mixed | +1,006 | $69.52 | -$21.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-28 | Christina M Alvord | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-27 | Christina M Alvord | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | John Michael McQuade | Director | Award (A) | +3,792 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | KENNETH W KRUEGER | Director | Award (A) | +2,390 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | KATHARINE PLOURDE | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | Mark J. Murphy | Director | Award (A) | +1,195 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | John Scannell | Director | Award (A) | +2,390 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | BONNIE CRUICKSHANK LIND | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | BONNIE CRUICKSHANK LIND | Director | Award (A) | +2,390 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | Russell Toney | Director | Award (A) | +2,390 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-03 | Sean C Valashinas | CAO | Mixed | +198 | $57.65 | -$4.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-03 | Suzanne K Purdum | CHRO | Mixed | +1,779 | $57.65 | -$41.3K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JOSEPH G MORONE | President & CEO | 289,085 | $17.15M | $0 | 24 | 2018-03-05 |
| 2 | Andrew William Higgins | President & CEO | 66,787 | $3.96M | $0 | 17 | 2024-05-13 |
| 3 | Daniel A Halftermeyer | President, MC | 63,355 | $3.76M | -$5.62M | 59 | 2024-09-03 |
| 4 | ERLAND E KAILBOURNE | Director | 50,549 | $3.00M | $0 | 18 | 2024-05-13 |
| 5 | John B Cozzolino | CFO & Treasurer | 42,797 | $2.54M | $0 | 16 | 2019-03-19 |
| 6 | RALPH M POLUMBO | President- AEC | 38,343 | $2.27M | $0 | 25 | 2016-01-05 |
| 7 | Gunnar Kleveland | President and CEO | 38,019 | $2.26M | $406.9K | 10 | 2026-03-03 |
| 8 | MICHAEL C NAHL | Executive Vice President & CFO | 30,911 | $1.83M | $0 | 11 | 2009-08-10 |
| 9 | JOHN F CASSIDY JR | Director | 24,245 | $1.44M | $0 | 14 | 2021-05-17 |
| 10 | EDGAR GEORGE HOTARD | Director | 22,177 | $1.32M | $0 | 10 | 2019-05-14 |
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. Amendments (Form 144/A) and post-cancellation refilings can inflate this if you sum naively; the rollup above excludes filings with zero stated value.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-05 | Starr Robert D. | Officer | 6,175 | $360.9K | 2025-08-05 | FIDELITY BROKERAGE SERVICES LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2024-09-10 | Harwell Gregory N | Was an Officer; Left the company over a month ago | 20,876 | $1.80M | 2024-09-19 | Computershare | — | EDGAR |
| 2023-08-08 | Hansen Robert Alan | Officer | 4,167 | $402.3K | 2023-08-08 | Georgeson Securities Corp. | — | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/B Ratio | 2.3 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 30.8 |
| TTM Revenue | $1.2B |
| TTM Net Income | $-0.1B |
| TTM EPS | $-1.78 |
| ROE | -6.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.84% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.60 |