Mativ Holdings, Inc.(MATV)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $7.07 – $15.48
- YTD
- +0.51%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 55.95
- Straddle Price
- $1.00
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.20
- Market Cap
- $0.7B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.96% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.27 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 11.93% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 7.83% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +108.9pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +3.5% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.04 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.1B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 19.0% |
| Book / Price | 70.4% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 19.4% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 6.4% |
| Debt / Equity | 2.09 |
| Quality Score | 2/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | -4.6% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $11.13 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $12.21 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 66.9% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.9B |
| Market Cap | $1B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $30.88 | 22% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $4.93 | 17% | |
| Peer P/E | $39.40 | 10% | median 23.4× · 3 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $34.60 | 10% | median 12.4× · 3 peers |
| Peer P/B | $31.61 | 2% | median 3.7× · 3 peers |
| Peer P/S | $234.49 | 6% | median 6.3× · 3 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $11.13 | 33% | stability 77% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $12.51 | 0% | 5 strikes · skew +0.37 |
- Industry (SIC)
- PAPER MILLS (2621)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $0.7B
Mativ Holdings Inc is a leader in specialty materials, solving its customers' complex challenges by engineering bold, inventive solutions that connect, protect, and purify the world. The company operates in two segments, namely Filtration & advanced Materials, focused on filtration media and components, developed films, coating and converting solutions, and extruded mesh products, and (2) Sustainable & Adhesive Solutions (SAS), focused on tapes, labels, liners, specialty paper, packaging, and healthcare solutions.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +0.08% | 7 |
| Feb | +1.05% | 7 |
| Mar | -1.12% | 7 |
| Apr | -3.59% | 7 |
| May | -3.08% | 7 |
| Jun | -3.17% | 7 |
| Jul | +2.17% | 7 |
| Aug | +19.66% | 7 |
| Sep | -5.10% | 6 |
| Oct | -3.33% | 6 |
| Nov | -4.43% | 6 |
| Dec | +4.21% | 6 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers:
- Bearish momentum signals from MACD
- Volatility regime remains high, indicating market uncertainty
- Recent news headlines suggest mixed sentiment, with some positive and negative articles
Primary Risks:
- Continued market volatility could exacerbate bearish trends
- Lack of earnings data hinders fundamental analysis and increases risk
Investment Thesis:
MATV's stock price has been trending downwards due to a combination of bearish technical indicators and high volatility. While there are some positive news headlines, the overall sentiment is mixed, which may lead to further market uncertainty.
Recent News Sentiment Impact:
The recent news headlines have had a neutral impact on the analysis, as they do not strongly contradict or support the current technical signals. However, the lack of earnings data and high volatility remain key concerns.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: BEARISH (Short-term), BEARISH (Medium-term), NEUTRAL (Long-term)
Support/Resistance Levels:
- SMA 20: $7.81 (support)
- Upper Bollinger Band: $8.33 (resistance)
Momentum Signals:
- MACD signal: Bearish
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (48.60%)
- Bollinger Bands position: Mean reversion
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: 581683.20 (increasing)
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): -18474365.66 (bearish)
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary:
The recent news headlines suggest mixed sentiment, with some positive and negative articles. The Q2 earnings report was a positive surprise, while the industry analysis and Rayonier Advanced Materials' (RYAM) Q1 loss were negative.
Sentiment Assessment: NEUTRAL
Catalyst Identification:
- No upcoming events or regulatory changes to drive significant market movements
- Earnings data is lacking, making it difficult to predict future price action
Market Narrative:
The mixed news sentiment and lack of earnings data create a neutral market narrative that does not strongly support or contradict the current technical signals.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Risk Metrics:
- Beta: 1.25 (high risk)
- Alpha: -0.03
- Correlation: 0.24
- Stock Volatility: 0.65 (high)
Options Market Signals:
- IV Rank: 12.4% (Low)
- Current IV: 101.1%
- Expected Move: $1.67 (42 DTE), 7-DTE: $0.80
Downside Protection:
- Support levels: SMA 20, Upper Bollinger Band
- Risk management considerations: Stop-loss levels and position sizing
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance:
MATV's performance is relatively weak compared to its sector and market.
Institutional Activity:
The institutional activity is bearish, with a focus on put options.
Correlation Analysis:
The stock's movement relative to the market (R-squared) indicates high correlation.
Relative Valuation:
MATV is positioned within its trading range, which may indicate future consolidation or further price action.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- SMA 20: $7.81
- Upper Bollinger Band: $8.33
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- Lower Bollinger Band: $7.28 (breakout)
Time-Sensitive Catalysts:
- No upcoming events or regulatory changes to drive significant market movements
Risk Management:
- Stop-loss levels: SMA 20 and lower Bollinger Band
- Position sizing: Consider reducing position size due to high volatility and risk
Conclusion
MATV's stock price is trending bearishly, driven by a combination of technical indicators and high volatility. The lack of earnings data and mixed news sentiment create uncertainty, making it challenging to predict future price action. The analysis highlights key levels, risks, and market context, providing a comprehensive framework for investors to assess the stock's potential.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-06 | After-Close | 11.21% | 19.66% | 1.75x | Exceeded |
| 2025-05-07 | After-Close | 12.88% | 7.93% | 0.62x | Within |
| 2025-08-06 | After-Close | 28.71% | 34.93% | 1.22x | Exceeded |
| 2025-11-05 | After-Close | 19.71% | 21.94% | 1.11x | Exceeded |
| 2026-02-18 | After-Close | 15.37% | 6.70% | 0.44x | Within |
| 2026-05-06 | After-Close | 15.96% | 0.00% | 0.00x | Within |
| 2026-08-05 | After-Close | 15.41% | 15.78% | 1.02x | Exceeded |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 55.95
- IV Rank (7D)
- 55.95
- Avg IV
- 168.3%
- Straddle (30D)
- $1.00
- Straddle (7D)
- $1.00
- P/C Volume
- 0.20
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 1.05
- Correlation (SPY)
- 24.1%
- R²
- 0.06
- Ann. Volatility
- 56.7%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.0%
Above average volatility - stock moves with market amplification
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $685.64K | 76.19% | 2025-09-30 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $213.47K | 23.72% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $757 | 0.08% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $205.90K | 99.63% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $757 | 0.37% | 2026-06-30 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | MARK W JOHNSON | CLO and Corporate Secretary | Mixed | — | $11.89 | -$76.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-21 | Marco Levi | Director | Tax (F) | −5,499 | $7.57 | -$41.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-06 | Deborah Borg | Director | Grant (A) | +19,815 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | Marco Levi | Director | Grant (A) | +19,815 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | Kimberly E Ritrievi | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | Bruce Andrew Hausmann | Director | Grant (A) | +19,815 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | John K Stipancich | Director | Grant (A) | +19,815 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | WILLIAM M COOK | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-28 | Ryan Michael Elwart | Group President | Mixed | +7,752 | $9.76 | -$32.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-23 | Cheryl Allegri | Controller | Tax (F) | −965 | $8.53 | -$8.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-23 | Ryan Michael Elwart | Group President | Tax (F) | −3,562 | $8.53 | -$30.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-23 | MARK W JOHNSON | CLO and Corporate Secretary | Tax (F) | −2,944 | $8.53 | -$25.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-13 | Shruti Singhal | President, CEO | Mixed | +221,661 | $9.02 | -$757.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-26 | Scott Minder | Chief Financial Officer | Grant (A) | +30,556 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-02-26 | Cheryl Allegri | Controller | Grant (A) | +7,812 RSU | — | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shruti Singhal | President, CEO | 362,210 | $4.34M | $230.4K | 14 | 2026-03-13 |
| 2 | Jeffrey Keenan | Director | 332,000 | $3.97M | $3.58M | 30 | 2024-04-03 |
| 3 | Julie Schertell | President, CEO | 244,023 | $2.92M | $823.7K | 10 | 2025-03-14 |
| 4 | R Andrew Wamser Jr | CFO and Treasurer | 164,399 | $1.97M | $0 | 2 | 2023-03-07 |
| 5 | Ryan Michael Elwart | Group President | 151,994 | $1.82M | $0 | 9 | 2026-04-28 |
| 6 | MARK W JOHNSON | CLO and Corporate Secretary | 125,113 | $1.50M | $0 | 11 | 2026-09-03 |
| 7 | RICARDO J NUNEZ | CLO, Secretary, and CCO | 91,063 | $1.09M | $0 | 2 | 2023-03-07 |
| 8 | Anderson Davis Warlick | Director | 75,013 | $897.9K | $248.4K | 11 | 2024-10-03 |
| 9 | Omar Hoek | COO | 66,332 | $794.0K | $0 | 1 | 2022-09-06 |
| 10 | Michael W Rickheim | CHRO | 65,763 | $787.2K | $0 | 7 | 2025-06-05 |
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. Amendments (Form 144/A) and post-cancellation refilings can inflate this if you sum naively; the rollup above excludes filings with zero stated value.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-14 | JULIE A SCHERTELL | Officer | 12,000 | $213.7K | 2024-08-14 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/E Ratio | 7.3 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.4 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.3 |
| TTM Revenue | $2.0B |
| TTM Net Income | $0.1B |
| TTM EPS | $1.63 |
| ROE | 19.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.30% |
| Debt/Equity | 2.10 |