Monro, Inc. Common Stock(MNRO)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $11.06 – $23.91
- YTD
- -30.25%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 51.1
- Straddle Price
- $2.50
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 1.81
- Market Cap
- $0.4B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.96% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.98 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.84% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 7.58% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +81.4pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 31.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -0.6% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.0B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 1.1% |
| Book / Price | 135.6% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 34.9% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 0.9% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.50 |
| Quality Score | 0/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $13.39 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $12.80 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 150.5% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.3B |
| Market Cap | $0B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $-3.38 | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $10.65 | 38% | |
| Peer P/E | $3.44 | 11% | median 15.6× · 5 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $14.15 | 14% | median 8.0× · 6 peers |
| Peer P/B | $44.17 | 18% | median 2.3× · 6 peers |
| Peer P/S | $21.21 | 18% | median 0.6× · 6 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $13.39 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $14.07 | 0% | 8 strikes · skew +0.02 |
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-AUTOMOTIVE REPAIR, SERVICES & PARKING (7500)
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $0.4B
Monro Inc is an operator of retail tire and automotive repair stores in the United States. The company offers replacement tires and tire related services, automotive undercar repair services, and a broad range of routine maintenance services, on passenger cars, light trucks, and vans. It also provides other products and services for brakes; mufflers and exhaust systems; and steering, drive train, suspension, and wheel alignment.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +0.84% | 23 |
| Feb | +1.26% | 23 |
| Mar | -1.73% | 23 |
| Apr | +0.19% | 23 |
| May | -0.28% | 23 |
| Jun | -0.71% | 23 |
| Jul | -0.07% | 23 |
| Aug | +0.08% | 23 |
| Sep | +2.15% | 23 |
| Oct | +0.79% | 22 |
| Nov | +3.60% | 22 |
| Dec | +2.07% | 22 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: MNRO
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers: High volatility, negative earnings surprise, and mixed technical signals.
Primary Risks: Higher-than-market beta, strong put volume, and potential for further price declines.
Investment Thesis: MNRO's stock price is likely to experience a correction due to its high volatility and recent negative earnings surprise. While the company has some positive fundamentals, the current market conditions and technical indicators suggest a bearish outlook.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The recent news headlines have been neutral, with no significant developments that would impact MNRO's stock price.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): BEARISH
- Medium-term (1-3 months): NEUTRAL
- Long-term (3-12 months): BULLISH
Support/Resistance Levels: The 20-SMA ($16.70) and the lower Bollinger Band ($15.23) are key support levels to monitor.
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: NEUTRAL (51.05)
- MACD signal: BEARISH (Histogram -0.22)
- Bollinger Bands position: MEAN REVERSION
Volume Analysis: The volume rate of change is negative (-16.04%), indicating a lack of buying pressure.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Most recent news headlines have been neutral, with no significant developments that would impact MNRO's stock price.
Sentiment Assessment: The overall sentiment is NEUTRAL, with no clear bias.
Catalyst Identification: No immediate catalysts are identified.
Market Narrative: The current market conditions and technical indicators suggest a bearish outlook for MNRO's stock price.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: The beta of 1.50 indicates high risk relative to the market.
Volatility Regime: The current volatility is higher than historical levels, with a HV30 of 51.5%.
Options Market Signals: The IV rank is 27.7% (Medium), and the put/call volume ratio is 0.42 (Bullish).
Downside Protection: The lower Bollinger Band ($15.23) and the 20-SMA ($16.70) are key support levels to monitor.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: MNRO's stock price has been weak compared to its sector peers.
Institutional Activity: No significant institutional activity is identified.
Correlation Analysis: The correlation with the market (R-squared interpretation) is 0.28, indicating a relatively low correlation.
Relative Valuation: The stock price is positioned within a trading range, but the trend is bearish.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels: The lower Bollinger Band ($15.23), the 20-SMA ($16.70), and the upper Bollinger Band ($18.16) are key levels to monitor.
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: A breakout above the upper Bollinger Band ($18.16) could indicate a bullish trend, while a breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band ($15.23) could signal further price declines.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No immediate catalysts are identified.
Risk Management: Consider implementing stop-loss levels at $16.42 and position sizing considerations based on market volatility.
Note: This analysis is based on the provided data, and the confidence level is 6/10 due to some mixed signals and limited news sentiment impact.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | Pre-Market | 16.70% | 3.51% | 0.21x | Within |
| 2025-01-29 | Pre-Market | 16.60% | 6.39% | 0.38x | Within |
| 2025-05-28 | After-Close | 15.22% | 5.19% | 0.34x | Within |
| 2025-07-30 | Pre-Market | 20.37% | 20.65% | 1.01x | Exceeded |
| 2025-10-29 | Pre-Market | 17.70% | 16.62% | 0.94x | Within |
| 2026-01-28 | After-Close | 12.96% | 6.11% | 0.47x | Within |
| 2026-05-27 | After-Close | 18.03% | 2.47% | 0.14x | Within |
| 2026-07-29 | Pre-Market | 21.37% | 22.94% | 1.07x | Exceeded |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 51.1
- IV Rank (7D)
- 51.1
- Avg IV
- 161.9%
- Straddle (30D)
- $2.50
- Straddle (7D)
- $2.50
- P/C Volume
- 1.81
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 1.85
- Correlation (SPY)
- 40.0%
- R²
- 0.16
- Ann. Volatility
- 59.9%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.0%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $746.00K | 39.17% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $564.63K | 29.65% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $376.42K | 19.77% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Walleye Capital LLC | $184.79K | 9.70% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $22.24K | 1.17% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $10.27K | 0.54% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $530.41K | 95.68% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Walleye Capital LLC | $18.82K | 3.40% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $3.42K | 0.62% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $1.71K | 0.31% | 2026-06-30 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | PETER J SOLOMON | Director | Award (A) | +11,149 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-13 | ROBERT E MELLOR | Director | Award (A) | +11,149 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-12 | Thomas B Okray | Director | Award (A) | +11,149 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-12 | Leah C. Johnson | Director | Award (A) | +11,149 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-12 | STEPHEN C MCCLUSKI | Director | Award (A) | +11,149 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-12 | Hope B Woodhouse | Director | Award (A) | +11,149 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-12 | Lindsay Hyde | Director | Award (A) | +11,149 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-21 | Kathryn M. Chang | Senior VP - Merchandising | Award (A) | +6,160 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-23 | Kathryn M. Chang | Senior VP - Merchandising | Tax (F) | −637 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-23 | Maureen Mulholland | Executive VP-CLO and Secretary | Tax (F) | −2,304 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-23 | Cindy Donovan | Sr. VP - CIO | Tax (F) | −812 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-23 | Brian D'Ambrosia | Executive Vice President & CFO | Tax (F) | −3,007 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-23 | Nicholas P Hawryschuk | Senior VP of Operations | Tax (F) | −1,406 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-23 | PETER J SOLOMON | Director | Mixed | +1,185,244 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-26 | Brian D'Ambrosia | Executive Vice President & CFO | Award (A) | +36,022 | — | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ICAHN PARTNERS MASTER FUND LP | 10%+ Owner | 4,977,151 | $68.39M | $62.45M | 2 | 2025-11-07 |
| 2 | PETER J SOLOMON | Director | 1,398,869 | $19.22M | -$42.57M | 81 | 2026-08-13 |
| 3 | John W Van Heel | Chief Executive Officer | 202,463 | $2.78M | -$11.51M | 20 | 2017-07-26 |
| 4 | AMICO CATHERINE D | Chief Executive Officer | 195,450 | $2.69M | -$8.76M | 40 | 2016-11-18 |
| 5 | DONALD GLICKMAN | Director | 175,314 | $2.41M | -$30.91M | 73 | 2022-08-18 |
| 6 | PETER D FITZSIMMONS | President and CEO | 112,033 | $1.54M | $501.9K | 3 | 2026-02-09 |
| 7 | LIONEL B SPIRO | Director | 111,372 | $1.53M | -$1.80M | 14 | 2010-11-17 |
| 8 | Michael T Broderick | CEO & President | 105,731 | $1.45M | $1.85M | 12 | 2024-08-09 |
| 9 | Brian D'Ambrosia | Executive Vice President & CFO | 86,247 | $1.19M | $0 | 19 | 2026-06-23 |
| 10 | FREDERICK M DANZIGER | Director | 69,924 | $960.8K | -$2.95M | 31 | 2022-08-18 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/E Ratio | 62.5 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.8 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.4 |
| TTM Revenue | $1.1B |
| TTM Net Income | $0.0B |
| TTM EPS | $0.22 |
| ROE | 1.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 8.00% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.57 |