The RealReal, Inc. Common Stock(REAL)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $4.70 – $17.39
- YTD
- -21.14%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 26.27
- Straddle Price
- $1.90
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.14
- Market Cap
- $1.5B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.43% |
| Beta vs SPY | 2.28 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 16.98% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 9.89% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +23.6pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +14.8% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.10 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.0B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 18.2% |
| Book / Price | -24.1% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 74.5% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 2.4% |
| Quality Score | 2/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $10.55 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $9.89 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 377.6% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.3B |
| Market Cap | $1B |
| Horizon | Expected α | z Pred | Blended z | Rank % | Active? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | +1.9% ⚠ | +1.62 | -1.38 | 1.5% | — |
| 42d | +7.7% ⚠ | +3.12 | -1.38 | 1.5% | — |
| 63d | +7.1% ⚠ | +2.25 | -1.38 | 1.5% | — |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $1.94 | 62% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 19.1× · 7 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | median 9.9× · 7 peers |
| Peer P/B | n/a | 0% | median 5.0× · 7 peers |
| Peer P/S | $2.46 | 37% | median 0.4× · 7 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $10.55 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS RETAIL (5900)
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $1.5B
The RealReal Inc is an online marketplace for authenticated, resale luxury goods, providing an end-to-end service that unlocks supply and creates a trusted, curated marketplace for buyers globally. Since its inception, the company has cultivated a loyal and engaged consignor and buyer base through continuous investment in its technology platform, logistics infrastructure, brand and people. It offers a wide selection of authenticated, mainly pre-owned luxury goods bearing the brands of thousands of luxury and premium designers, including Cartier, Chanel, Christian Dior, Gucci, Hermes, Louis Vui…
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +3.74% | 6 |
| Feb | -14.12% | 6 |
| Mar | +3.76% | 6 |
| Apr | +0.94% | 6 |
| May | -7.76% | 6 |
| Jun | +12.03% | 6 |
| Jul | +0.08% | 5 |
| Aug | -8.80% | 5 |
| Sep | +3.66% | 5 |
| Oct | -0.61% | 5 |
| Nov | +40.82% | 5 |
| Dec | +9.57% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.
Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-06 | After-Close | 35.31% | 6.87% | 0.19x | Within |
| 2024-11-04 | After-Close | 22.20% | 22.37% | 1.01x | Exceeded |
| 2025-02-10 | After-Close | 13.39% | 0.52% | 0.04x | Within |
| 2025-05-08 | After-Close | 19.79% | 32.03% | 1.62x | Exceeded |
| 2025-08-07 | After-Close | 18.06% | 2.73% | 0.15x | Within |
| 2025-11-10 | After-Close | 18.90% | 25.37% | 1.34x | Exceeded |
| 2026-02-26 | After-Close | 24.08% | 1.03% | 0.04x | Within |
| 2026-05-07 | After-Close | 20.04% | 10.69% | 0.53x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 26.27
- IV Rank (7D)
- 100
- Avg IV
- 109.9%
- Straddle (30D)
- $1.90
- Straddle (7D)
- $0.42
- P/C Volume
- 0.14
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 2.81
- Correlation (SPY)
- 45.0%
- R²
- 0.20
- Ann. Volatility
- 77.7%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.4%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MASTERS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $54.48M | 38.30% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $33.00M | 23.20% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | UBS Group AG Custodian | $20.64M | 14.51% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $7.04M | 4.95% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $4.67M | 3.28% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $4.41M | 3.10% | 2026-03-31 |
| 7 | BIT Capital GmbH | $4.09M | 2.87% | 2026-03-31 |
| 8 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $2.51M | 1.76% | 2025-09-30 |
| 9 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $2.39M | 1.68% | 2026-03-31 |
| 10 | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | $2.08M | 1.46% | 2026-03-31 |
| 11 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $2.00M | 1.41% | 2026-03-31 |
| 12 | Caption Management, LLC | $1.36M | 0.96% | 2026-03-31 |
| 13 | Shay Capital LLC | $1.09M | 0.77% | 2026-03-31 |
| 14 | Maven Securities LTD | $907.50K | 0.64% | 2026-03-31 |
| 15 | Cubist Systematic Strategies, LLC | $902.49K | 0.63% | 2025-09-30 |
| 16 | Walleye Trading LLC | $582.94K | 0.41% | 2026-03-31 |
| 17 | Walleye Capital LLC | $87.17K | 0.06% | 2026-03-31 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $12.32M | 29.48% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $10.32M | 24.68% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $4.61M | 11.04% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $3.50M | 8.36% | 2025-09-30 |
| 5 | Crawford Fund Management, LLC | $2.54M | 6.09% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | Walleye Trading LLC | $2.21M | 5.29% | 2026-03-31 |
| 7 | PEAK6 LLC | $2.09M | 5.01% | 2026-03-31 |
| 8 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $1.63M | 3.90% | 2026-03-31 |
| 9 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $1.25M | 2.99% | 2026-03-31 |
| 10 | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | $1.01M | 2.40% | 2026-03-31 |
| 11 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $316.89K | 0.76% | 2026-03-31 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Luke Thomas Friang | Chief Product & Tech Officer | Sell (S) | −21,183 | $9.25 | -$195.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-22 | Todd A Suko | Chief Legal Officer and Secret | Sell (S) | −17,353 | $9.25 | -$160.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-22 | Gopal Ajay Madan | Chief Financial Officer | Sell (S) | −35,023 | $9.25 | -$324.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-22 | Steve Ming Lo | Chief Accounting Officer | Sell (S) | −12,077 | $9.25 | -$111.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-22 | Levesque Rati Sahi | Chief Executive Officer | Sell (S) | −81,194 | $9.25 | -$751.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-14 | Steve Ming Lo | Chief Accounting Officer | Award (A) | +31,310 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-14 | Jennifer McKeehan | Director | Award (A) | +4,247 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-02 | Mark McCaffrey | Director | Award (A) | +963 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-02 | KAREN KATZ | Director | Award (A) | +1,988 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-20 | Gopal Ajay Madan | Chief Financial Officer | Sell (S) | −51,585 | $9.29 | -$479.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | Levesque Rati Sahi | Chief Executive Officer | Mixed | +58,292 | $10.72 | -$1.30M | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | Todd A Suko | Chief Legal Officer and Secret | Mixed | +17,761 | $10.72 | -$492.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | Gopal Ajay Madan | Chief Financial Officer | Mixed | +74,800 | $10.72 | -$336.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | Steve Ming Lo | Chief Accounting Officer | Sell (S) | −16,962 | $10.72 | -$181.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | Luke Thomas Friang | Chief Product & Tech Officer | Mixed | +52,594 | $10.72 | -$210.2K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canaan Partners IX LLC | 10%+ Owner | 7,925,919 | $98.68M | $0 | 2 | 2020-01-16 |
| 2 | JOHN G HAYES | 10%+ Owner | 7,333,402 | $91.30M | $0 | 1 | 2019-07-02 |
| 3 | DAVID L FERGUSON | 10%+ Owner | 5,785,182 | $72.03M | $0 | 1 | 2019-07-02 |
| 4 | Michael Andrew Kumin | Director | 3,992,945 | $49.71M | $0 | 5 | 2020-12-23 |
| 5 | Julie Wainwright | Chief Executive Officer | 2,611,820 | $32.52M | -$43.39M | 55 | 2022-05-24 |
| 6 | Levesque Rati Sahi | Chief Executive Officer | 1,643,032 | $20.46M | -$15.45M | 70 | 2026-05-22 |
| 7 | Gopal Ajay Madan | Chief Financial Officer | 1,145,278 | $14.26M | -$2.96M | 11 | 2026-05-22 |
| 8 | ROBERT K. JULIAN | Chief Financial Officer | 965,797 | $12.02M | -$6.1K | 17 | 2024-01-02 |
| 9 | Chatelle Aileen Lynch | Chief People Officer | 613,577 | $7.64M | -$511.0K | 6 | 2025-08-14 |
| 10 | Todd A Suko | Chief Legal Officer and Secret | 605,394 | $7.54M | -$5.02M | 34 | 2026-05-22 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/B Ratio | -3.8 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 84.2 |
| TTM Revenue | $0.7B |
| TTM Net Income | $-0.1B |
| TTM EPS | $-1.01 |
| ROE | 18.2% |
| Debt/Equity | -1.04 |