Amazon Credit Card Spend in October

6 outcomesSettles Nov 07, 2026 (14d)

50/50 line27%Above 109

Line nearest 50/50

27%

Above 109

Market median

107.562

even odds of landing above or below

Biggest 24h move-4 pts

75%

Above 106

24h volume

$1K

$20K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

Above 103 80%

Above 106 75% -4

Above 109 27% -1

Above 112 14%

Above 115 6%

Above 118 2% -2

median 107.562

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

7 days · ≥ $1K

When	Outcome	Side	Price	Size
Oct 21, 4:21 PM ET	Above 139	NO	98¢	$3K
Oct 20, 1:06 AM ET	Above 139	NO	98¢	$1K

Outcome	Odds	24h change	24h volume	Open interest
Above 103	80%	+0.5	$36	$4K
Above 106	75%	-4.0	$599	$3K
Above 109	27%	-1.0	$98	$4K
Above 112	14%	-0.5	$125	$3K
Above 115	6%	+0.5	$169	$3K
Above 118	2%	-2.5	$89	$2K