Footwear Retail Ad Spend in October

5 outcomesSettles Nov 06, 2026 (11d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line40%Above 110
Line nearest 50/50
40%
Above 110
Market median
108.623
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+4 pts
94%
Above 100
24h volume
$6K
$15K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 80 98% +2
Above 100 94% +4
Above 105 75% -13
Above 110 40% -18

What the market expects

median 108.623

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 100
    YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 80
    YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 100YES 91¢$2K
Above 80YES 95¢$2K

All outcomes

5
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 80 98% +1.5 $150 $3K
Above 100 94% +3.5 $952 $2K
Above 105 75% -13.0 $200 $2K
Above 110 40% -17.5 $217 $2K
Above 115 16% +0.5 $5K $6K