Eli Lilly Credit Card Spend in October

5 outcomesSettles Nov 07, 2026 (12d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line35%Above 131
Line nearest 50/50
35%
Above 131
Market median
126.116
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move-55 pts
35%
Above 131
24h volume
$8K
$20K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 110 100%
Above 131 35% -55
Above 140 32% -42
Above 149 12% +2

What the market expects

median 126.116

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 110
    YES $10K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $8K
  • Above 158
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 131
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 131NO 20¢$1K
Above 110YES 99¢$2K
Above 158NO 96¢$2K
Above 110YES 95¢$8K

All outcomes

5
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 110 100% — $3 $8K
Above 131 35% -55.0 $5K $6K
Above 140 32% -41.5 $3K $3K
Above 149 12% +2.0 $34 $862
Above 158 4% +0.5 $16 $2K