What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?
50/50 line51%Inflation
Line nearest 50/50
51%
Runner-up
62%
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$336
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noDemocrat
66%
+8
2028 / Campaign
62%
Trump (3+ times)
56%
Inflation
51%
+23
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
47%
-20
Nuclear
44%
+4
Data Center
20%
+8
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
8| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | 66% | +8.5 | $92 | $94 |
| 2028 / Campaign | 62% | — | $16 | $16 |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 60% | +2.5 | $18 | $29 |
| Trump (3+ times) | 56% | — | $37 | $37 |
| Inflation | 51% | +23.0 | $51 | $51 |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 47% | -20.0 | $29 | $32 |
| Nuclear | 44% | +4.5 | $32 | $92 |
| Data Center | 20% | +8.0 | $61 | $111 |
Same series
- What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?≈ 2028 / Campaign 50% · settles 2026-11-09