K KalshiTech & AI

Z.ai market share this week

8 outcomesSettles Oct 12, 2026 (5d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line54%Above 10.8%
Line nearest 50/50
54%
Above 10.8%
Market median
11.226%
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+37 pts
54%
Above 10.8%
24h volume
$36K
$23K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 7.2% 100% +5
Above 7.6% 100% +10
Above 10.8% 54% +37

What the market expects

median 11.226%

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · hourly

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 8.9%
    YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 10.8%
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 8.9%YES 98¢$2K
Above 10.8%NO 60¢$2K

All outcomes

8
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 7.2% 100% +5.0 $100 $636
Above 7.6% 100% +10.0 $71 $182
Above 8.0% 100% — $71 $71
Above 6.4% 100% — $1 $1
Above 8.4% 100% — $200 $200
Above 8.9% 98% — $6K $6K
Above 10.8% 54% +37.0 $13K $10K
Above 14.1% 23% — $16K $6K