What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

5.3% or below

chance of YES50%

Price range (120d)

99–99%

24h volume

200

$1 contracts

Open interest

200

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.