What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 12M

Settles Nov 15, 2026 (22d) All outcomes: FRESH: First Week Streams

chance of YES92%

Price range (4h)

88–98%

24h volume

1.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

808

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 4h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.