What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Michele Ribecai

Settles Nov 04, 2026 (12d) All outcomes: Ribecai vs Houkes

chance of YES100% +58.0pp in 24h

Price range (40h)

18–99%

24h volume

367.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

226.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$144K

87% on YES

hourly, 40h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 8:22 AM ET	YES	99¢	5,643	$6K
Oct 22, 8:22 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,324	$2K
Oct 22, 8:19 AM ET	YES	99¢	4,983	$5K
Oct 22, 8:17 AM ET	YES	99¢	4,858	$5K
Oct 22, 8:16 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,405	$1K
Oct 22, 8:16 AM ET	YES	99¢	5,000	$5K
Oct 22, 8:16 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,921	$3K
Oct 22, 8:16 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,766	$2K
Oct 22, 8:15 AM ET	YES	97¢	51,292	$50K
Oct 22, 8:14 AM ET	YES	96¢	1,246	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.