Igor Marcondes wins
chance of YES0%
Price range (10h)
1–58%
24h volume
445.9K
Open interest
244.9K
Bid / ask
$93K
Odds and volume
hourly, 10hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Erik Arutiunian100%376.8K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 98¢ | 1,996 | $2K | |
| YES | 22¢ | 36,411 | $8K | |
| NO | 92¢ | 1,300 | $1K | |
| NO | 92¢ | 7,960 | $7K | |
| NO | 91¢ | 1,149 | $1K | |
| NO | 81¢ | 1,372 | $1K | |
| YES | 32¢ | 5,966 | $2K | |
| NO | 68¢ | 2,215 | $2K | |
| NO | 63¢ | 1,733 | $1K | |
| NO | 68¢ | 2,391 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.