Alexander Ritschard wins
chance of YES100%
Price range (14h)
46–99%
24h volume
238.0K
Open interest
126.9K
Bid / ask
$60K
Odds and volume
hourly, 14hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Raul Brancaccio0%406.7K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 99¢ | 3,177 | $3K | |
| YES | 96¢ | 3,637 | $3K | |
| YES | 91¢ | 10,920 | $10K | |
| YES | 93¢ | 5,035 | $5K | |
| NO | 17¢ | 30,000 | $5K | |
| NO | 10¢ | 14,661 | $1K | |
| YES | 83¢ | 2,821 | $2K | |
| YES | 91¢ | 4,989 | $5K | |
| YES | 85¢ | 4,500 | $4K | |
| YES | 87¢ | 3,013 | $3K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.