What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Miguel Tobon

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Aboian vs Tobon

chance of YES0%

Price range (6h)

1–84%

24h volume

1.7M

$1 contracts

Open interest

701.6K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$767K

65% on YES

hourly, 6h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 23, 4:35 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,160	$1K
Oct 23, 4:35 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,010	$1K
Oct 23, 4:35 PM ET	NO	99¢	3,463	$3K
Oct 23, 4:35 PM ET	NO	99¢	12,000	$12K
Oct 23, 4:33 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,113	$1K
Oct 23, 4:32 PM ET	NO	98¢	1,208	$1K
Oct 23, 4:32 PM ET	NO	98¢	9,999	$10K
Oct 23, 4:32 PM ET	NO	98¢	2,161	$2K
Oct 23, 4:31 PM ET	NO	98¢	4,566	$4K
Oct 23, 4:31 PM ET	NO	98¢	1,257	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.