What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Filippo Romano

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Donald vs Romano

chance of YES100%

Price range (12h)

47–99%

24h volume

179.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

210.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$141K

100% on YES

hourly, 12h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 23, 7:56 AM ET	YES	98¢	25,227	$25K
Oct 23, 7:53 AM ET	YES	99¢	20,187	$20K
Oct 23, 7:52 AM ET	YES	94¢	5,690	$5K
Oct 23, 7:50 AM ET	YES	96¢	1,353	$1K
Oct 23, 7:49 AM ET	YES	94¢	1,657	$2K
Oct 23, 7:47 AM ET	YES	91¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 23, 7:40 AM ET	YES	85¢	2,963	$3K
Oct 23, 7:38 AM ET	YES	87¢	3,000	$3K
Oct 23, 7:34 AM ET	YES	90¢	2,186	$2K
Oct 23, 7:33 AM ET	YES	91¢	42,585	$39K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.