What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Sander Jong

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Jong vs Mayo

chance of YES100%

Price range (10h)

8–99%

24h volume

1.0M

$1 contracts

Open interest

645.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$359K

45% on YES

hourly, 10h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 23, 5:50 PM ET	YES	95¢	15,456	$15K
Oct 23, 5:49 PM ET	NO	35¢	30,228	$11K
Oct 23, 5:49 PM ET	YES	66¢	1,553	$1K
Oct 23, 5:49 PM ET	NO	35¢	10,477	$4K
Oct 23, 5:49 PM ET	YES	65¢	14,819	$10K
Oct 23, 5:49 PM ET	YES	65¢	15,762	$10K
Oct 23, 5:49 PM ET	NO	36¢	19,491	$7K
Oct 23, 5:49 PM ET	NO	36¢	3,661	$1K
Oct 23, 5:49 PM ET	NO	36¢	7,887	$3K
Oct 23, 5:49 PM ET	NO	36¢	6,101	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.