Carlos Maria Zarate wins
chance of YES22%
Price range (13h)
14–22%
24h volume
1.6M
Open interest
753.4K
Bid / ask
14¢ / 15¢
Odds and volume
hourly, 13hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.0¢ | 38,767 | 15.0¢ | 44,136 |
| 13.0¢ | 24,129 | 16.0¢ | 36,021 |
| 12.0¢ | 12,088 | 17.0¢ | 18,222 |
| 11.0¢ | 16,872 | 18.0¢ | 17,720 |
| 10.0¢ | 27,083 | 19.0¢ | 15,790 |
Mid 14.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Felipe Meligeni Alves78%605.3K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 81¢ | 2,358 | $2K | |
| NO | 76¢ | 4,298 | $3K | |
| NO | 84¢ | 3,517 | $3K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 2,142 | $2K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 3,209 | $3K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 1,707 | $2K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 1,257 | $1K | |
| NO | 93¢ | 2,421 | $2K | |
| NO | 93¢ | 1,257 | $1K | |
| NO | 93¢ | 1,906 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.