What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Keegan Smith

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Hsu vs Smith

chance of YES18%

Price range (14h)

1–82%

24h volume

1.1M

$1 contracts

Open interest

577.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$301K

59% on YES

hourly, 14h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 1:35 AM ET	NO	83¢	10,216	$9K
Oct 27, 1:34 AM ET	NO	84¢	1,500	$1K
Oct 27, 1:34 AM ET	NO	84¢	2,095	$2K
Oct 27, 1:34 AM ET	NO	82¢	1,657	$1K
Oct 27, 1:33 AM ET	NO	51¢	3,400	$2K
Oct 27, 1:33 AM ET	NO	68¢	3,000	$2K
Oct 27, 1:33 AM ET	YES	33¢	8,683	$3K
Oct 27, 1:32 AM ET	NO	68¢	5,309	$4K
Oct 27, 1:32 AM ET	NO	45¢	2,500	$1K
Oct 27, 1:32 AM ET	NO	45¢	3,456	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.