What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Fajing Sun

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Sun vs Matsuoka

chance of YES100%

Price range (14h)

26–99%

24h volume

620.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

259.5K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$189K

59% on YES

hourly, 14h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 4:19 AM ET	YES	99¢	4,448	$4K
Oct 27, 4:19 AM ET	YES	98¢	6,561	$6K
Oct 27, 4:18 AM ET	YES	91¢	1,623	$1K
Oct 27, 4:18 AM ET	YES	91¢	5,460	$5K
Oct 27, 4:18 AM ET	YES	87¢	2,793	$2K
Oct 27, 4:17 AM ET	YES	71¢	3,150	$2K
Oct 27, 4:15 AM ET	YES	68¢	6,110	$4K
Oct 27, 4:15 AM ET	YES	65¢	1,939	$1K
Oct 27, 4:12 AM ET	YES	73¢	2,602	$2K
Oct 27, 4:10 AM ET	NO	32¢	3,254	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.