What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 43%, implying a 43% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Sebastian Baez

Settles Nov 03, 2026 (14d) All outcomes: Herbert vs Baez

chance of YES43%

Price range (10h)

43–47%

24h volume

1.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 10h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.