What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Tommy Paul

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Moutet vs Paul

chance of YES100% +22.0pp in 24h

Price range (27h)

64–99%

24h volume

2.3M

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.4M

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$864K

99% on YES

hourly, 27h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 23, 10:56 AM ET	YES	99¢	8,186	$8K
Oct 23, 10:55 AM ET	YES	99¢	3,008	$3K
Oct 23, 10:54 AM ET	YES	97¢	2,674	$3K
Oct 23, 10:54 AM ET	YES	94¢	6,134	$6K
Oct 23, 10:54 AM ET	YES	94¢	4,500	$4K
Oct 23, 10:54 AM ET	YES	94¢	7,945	$7K
Oct 23, 10:54 AM ET	YES	94¢	5,319	$5K
Oct 23, 10:53 AM ET	YES	98¢	1,530	$1K
Oct 23, 10:53 AM ET	YES	96¢	7,161	$7K
Oct 23, 10:53 AM ET	YES	97¢	1,399	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.