What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Jan-Lennard Struff

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Struff vs Bergs

chance of YES84% +47.0pp in 24h

Price range (25h)

33–99%

24h volume

1.1M

$1 contracts

Open interest

827.8K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$402K

89% on YES

hourly, 25h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 23, 4:35 PM ET	YES	98¢	23,371	$23K
Oct 23, 4:35 PM ET	YES	87¢	13,714	$12K
Oct 23, 4:35 PM ET	YES	87¢	1,300	$1K
Oct 23, 4:34 PM ET	YES	87¢	1,950	$2K
Oct 23, 4:34 PM ET	YES	87¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 23, 4:34 PM ET	YES	64¢	2,286	$1K
Oct 23, 4:33 PM ET	NO	36¢	5,615	$2K
Oct 23, 4:33 PM ET	YES	76¢	1,336	$1K
Oct 23, 4:33 PM ET	YES	76¢	2,458	$2K
Oct 23, 4:33 PM ET	YES	76¢	2,625	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.