Arthur Rinderknech wins
chance of YES48%
+2.5pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
45–91%
24h volume
30.4K
Open interest
27.2K
Bid / ask
48¢ / 49¢
Odds and volume
hourly, 3dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48.0¢ | 33 | 49.0¢ | 25,756 |
| 47.0¢ | 8,825 | 50.0¢ | 47,310 |
| 46.0¢ | 5,705 | 51.0¢ | 8,235 |
| 45.0¢ | 12,302 | 52.0¢ | 5,384 |
| 44.0¢ | 6,489 | 53.0¢ | 47 |
Mid 48.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Jerome Kym52%14.6K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 50¢ | 5,080 | $3K | |
| YES | 51¢ | 2,830 | $1K | |
| YES | 49¢ | 6,000 | $3K | |
| NO | 56¢ | 10,718 | $6K | |
| YES | 46¢ | 10,718 | $5K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.