What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Alejandro Tabilo

Settles Nov 08, 2026 (11d) All outcomes: Tabilo vs Jodar

chance of YES26% +1.5pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

19–27%

24h volume

2.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.