What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 64%, implying a 64% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Rank 3 to 4

chance of YES64% -0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

15–74%

24h volume

504

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.